Incident briefing · Flood

Flood Warning: St Johns River near Astor

Where the warning applies, what officials reported, what nearby gauges mean, and where to check for updates.

Official source updated Oct 14, 2026, 9:34 PM EDT

Official warning through 11:00 AM EDT Oct 15, 2026

Official information

Instructions and local resources

Official warning through
11:00 AM EDT
Oct 15, 2026
Nearby gauge
2.71 ft
0.41 ft above flood stage

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars through flooded areas.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Thursday morning at 1100 AM EDT.

NWS Melbourne FL · updated Oct 14, 2026, 9:34 PM EDT

In immediate danger? Call 911. Nature Says When is not an emergency service and does not determine whether an area is safe.

Nature Says When briefing

What matters right now

The National Weather Service issued a Flood Warning covering Lake, FL and Volusia, FL.

The official warning area, instructions, and source links are collected here with nearby weather and water observations.

Based on NWS Melbourne FL, updated Oct 14, 2026, 9:34 PM EDT.

Read the full official alert text

Exact text from the issuing authority.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... St Johns River Near Astor affecting Lake and Volusia Counties. .The St Johns River at Astor is forecast to remain in Minor Flood Stage through Friday, as previous heavy rainfall continues to drain through the basin. However, strong northeasterly winds are forecast this weekend and will return the river to Moderate Flood Stage. For the St. Johns River...including Astor...Moderate flooding is forecast. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast. * WHERE...St Johns River near Astor. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 3.0 feet, Water approaches or may enter lowest homes on or near Wildhog Road and nearby canals. Flooding reaches the parking lot of the Juno Trail Apartments. Flooding on portions of Alligator Road and Holiday Road. Lowest lying yards along Blue Creek are flooded. Roads at Astor Landing Campground and Lake Dexter Boat Ramp begin to flood. Water enters lower homes closest to the river on McPherson Lane. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:30 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 2.7 feet. - Bankfull stage is 2.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 8:30 PM EDT Wednesday was 2.9 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood stage at 2.7 feet. - Flood stage is 2.3 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

NWS Melbourne FL · updated Oct 14, 2026, 9:34 PM EDT

Official forecast · local time

Weather window

Thu, Oct 15, 9:00 AM–3:00 PM

The latest hourly forecast covers the period shown below.

The strongest forecast gust in those hours is 16 mph.

See the hourly forecast
  1. Sunny74°F · Wind 0 mph · Gusts 6 mph
  2. Sunny80°F · Wind 0 mph · Gusts 7 mph
  3. Sunny83°F · Wind 5 mph · Gusts 9 mph
  4. Sunny86°F · Wind 5 mph · Gusts 9 mph
  5. Sunny87°F · Wind 5 mph · Gusts 10 mph
  6. Sunny88°F · Wind 5 mph · Gusts 12 mph
  7. Sunny88°F · Wind 5 mph · Gusts 13 mph
  8. Sunny88°F · Wind 5 mph · Gusts 14 mph
  9. Sunny87°F · Wind 5 mph · Gusts 15 mph
  10. Mostly Clear84°F · Wind 5 mph · Gusts 16 mph
  11. Mostly Clear82°F · Wind 5 mph · Gusts 15 mph

Official gauge observation

Nearby river gauge

St. Johns River at Astor was at 2.71 feet at Oct 15, 2026, 7:30 AM EDT.

That is 0.41 feet above the gauge's 2.3-foot flood-stage threshold.

Flood stage is the locally defined level where impacts begin at this gauge; it is not the maximum the river can reach.

NOAA river level

Recent observations and official forecast

ObservedForecastFlood stage
00.81.62.43.3Oct 13, 7 AMOct 15, 11 AMOct 17, 3 PMOct 19, 8 PMStage (ft)Flood stage 2.3 ft
Stage is measured in feet at this gauge. The dashed line is the official forecast, not an observation.
See gauge forecast and source details

The warning text names this river, but the gauge still represents one point on it about 1.6 miles from the warning center.

The stored official forecast peaks near 3 feet at Oct 18, 2026, 8:00 PM EDT.

A provisional USGS observation reported the same stage.

Open USGS gauge 02236125 (provisional) ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Where this is happening

Warning area and nearby places

The shaded shape comes from the official source. It shows the warning or incident area, not which individual roads or properties are affected.

Loading the incident map…

Places named or nearest to the official area

  • Lake, FL
  • Volusia, FL
Map source details

Stored source center: 29.186, -81.536. A point or perimeter provides geographic context and is not a safety boundary.

Update history

What changed

  1. The river-gauge observation or forecast changed.

  2. The issuing agency updated the warning area.

Provenance and handoffs

Sources and further information

Open the authority’s page before making an emergency decision.

How this briefing is assembled

Source facts are stored with source and retrieval times. The page renders stored records only. Optional generated context is omitted whenever validation fails and never controls emergency instructions, containment, road status, health guidance, or publication.